Ecuador vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
COL
3 - 1
ECU
62%
23%
15%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
ECU
2 - 0
PER
56%
25%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
ECU
1 - 2
PER
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
ECU
1 - 1
IRL
32%
28%
40%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
ECU
2 - 4
MEX
32%
28%
41%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
JAM
0 - 1
CHL
27%
29%
44%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CRI
2 - 0
CHL
44%
26%
30%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
HTI
0 - 0
CHL
22%
27%
51%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2007 |
CHL
2 - 0
CUB
79%
15%
6%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
CHL
3 - 0
CUB
79%
15%
6%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | +1 |