UEFA Nations League Liga A. Jor. 5

Croatia vs Denmark analysis

Croatia Denmark
90 ELO 90
-3.4% Tilt 3.8%
39º General ELO ranking 47º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.3%
Croatia
25.7%
Draw
33%
Denmark

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
Croatia
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33%
Win probability
Denmark
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Croatia
+7%
-3%
Denmark

ELO progression

Croatia
Denmark
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Croatia
Croatia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2022
FRA
France
0 - 1
Croatia
HRV
71%
17%
12%
89 94 5 0
10 Jun. 2022
DNK
Denmark
0 - 1
Croatia
HRV
51%
23%
26%
89 90 1 0
06 Jun. 2022
HRV
Croatia
1 - 1
France
FRA
20%
26%
55%
89 95 6 0
03 Jun. 2022
HRV
Croatia
0 - 3
Austria
AUT
63%
21%
17%
90 84 6 -1
29 Mar. 2022
HRV
Croatia
2 - 1
Bulgaria
BGR
75%
16%
8%
89 79 10 +1

Matches

Denmark
Denmark
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2022
DNK
Denmark
2 - 0
Austria
AUT
65%
20%
16%
90 85 5 0
10 Jun. 2022
DNK
Denmark
0 - 1
Croatia
HRV
51%
23%
26%
90 89 1 0
06 Jun. 2022
AUT
Austria
1 - 2
Denmark
DNK
25%
25%
50%
90 85 5 0
03 Jun. 2022
FRA
France
1 - 2
Denmark
DNK
71%
17%
12%
90 95 5 0
29 Mar. 2022
DNK
Denmark
3 - 0
Serbia
SRB
65%
21%
14%
90 86 4 0
X