UEFA Nations League League A Round 5

Croatia vs Denmark analysis

Croatia Denmark
90 ELO 90
-3.4% Tilt 3.8%
66º General ELO ranking 73º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.1%
Croatia
25.4%
Draw
33.6%
Denmark

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
Croatia
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.6%
Win probability
Denmark
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Croatia
Denmark
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Croatia
Croatia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2022
FRA
France
0 - 1
Croatia
CRO
70%
18%
12%
90 94 4 0
10 Jun. 2022
DEN
Denmark
0 - 1
Croatia
CRO
51%
23%
26%
89 91 2 +1
06 Jun. 2022
CRO
Croatia
1 - 1
France
FRA
23%
26%
51%
89 94 5 0
03 Jun. 2022
CRO
Croatia
0 - 3
Austria
AUT
62%
21%
17%
90 85 5 -1
29 Mar. 2022
CRO
Croatia
2 - 1
Bulgaria
BGR
75%
16%
9%
90 80 10 0

Matches

Denmark
Denmark
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2022
DEN
Denmark
2 - 0
Austria
AUT
64%
20%
16%
90 86 4 0
10 Jun. 2022
DEN
Denmark
0 - 1
Croatia
CRO
51%
23%
26%
91 89 2 -1
06 Jun. 2022
AUT
Austria
1 - 2
Denmark
DEN
28%
25%
47%
90 86 4 +1
03 Jun. 2022
FRA
France
1 - 2
Denmark
DEN
70%
18%
12%
90 94 4 0
29 Mar. 2022
DEN
Denmark
3 - 0
Serbia
SRB
65%
21%
14%
90 87 3 0