Croatia vs Gibraltar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.4%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
13.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
16.4%
3-0
16.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.4%
6.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.1%
1.4%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
HRV
5 - 1
NOR
65%
21%
14%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
HRV
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
ARG
2 - 1
HRV
67%
19%
13%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
HRV
6 - 0
AZE
83%
13%
4%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
BGR
0 - 1
HRV
26%
25%
49%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SCT
6 - 1
GIB
87%
10%
3%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
DEU
4 - 0
GIB
98%
2%
0%
|
60 | 95 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
GIB
0 - 3
GEO
31%
25%
45%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
IRL
7 - 0
GIB
89%
9%
3%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GIB
0 - 7
POL
9%
19%
72%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |