Comoros vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SLE
0 - 2
COM
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
COM
1 - 0
BDI
14%
18%
68%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
COM
7 - 1
SYC
45%
23%
32%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
PSE
5 - 1
COM
77%
16%
7%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
EGY
4 - 0
COM
93%
6%
1%
|
43 | 85 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
MOZ
1 - 0
MWI
45%
28%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
MWI
0 - 4
CMR
13%
24%
63%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
CIV
2 - 1
MWI
84%
12%
4%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
MWI
0 - 3
CIV
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
MWI
1 - 0
MOZ
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |