Colombia vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
12.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
PER
69%
20%
12%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
ARG
0 - 0
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
COL
0 - 0
PER
69%
19%
12%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
COL
75%
17%
9%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
VEN
72%
18%
10%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
PER
69%
20%
12%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
USA
2 - 1
PER
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
PER
2 - 0
PRY
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
CHL
2 - 1
PER
71%
18%
12%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 3
PER
37%
25%
39%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |