Colombia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
BRA
17%
21%
62%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
VEN
0 - 0
COL
24%
26%
50%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
CMR
0 - 4
COL
22%
28%
50%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
ESP
2 - 2
COL
73%
18%
10%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
ECU
0 - 2
COL
45%
27%
28%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
PRY
1 - 2
URY
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
CHL
0 - 3
PRY
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
MEX
2 - 1
PRY
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
PRY
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
FRA
5 - 0
PRY
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |