Colombia vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
COL
4 - 1
GTM
77%
16%
7%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SAU
0 - 1
COL
15%
26%
59%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
VEN
0 - 1
COL
25%
26%
49%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
COL
3 - 0
BOL
74%
17%
8%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ARG
1 - 0
COL
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
MEX
34%
27%
39%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 1
PRY
67%
21%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
JAM
1 - 1
MEX
7%
20%
73%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MEX
3 - 0
SUR
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
ECU
54%
24%
23%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |