Chile vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1991 |
CHL
2 - 0
VEN
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1991 |
CHL
3 - 1
ECU
71%
20%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1991 |
URY
2 - 1
CHL
59%
25%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1991 |
ECU
2 - 1
CHL
39%
29%
32%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1991 |
CHL
2 - 1
URY
45%
29%
26%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1991 |
PRY
1 - 0
PER
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1991 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1991 |
URY
0 - 0
PER
70%
20%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1991 |
PER
1 - 0
URY
29%
31%
40%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1991 |
PER
0 - 1
ECU
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |