Bulgaria vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BGR
1 - 0
BLR
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
SWE
3 - 0
BGR
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
4 - 1
BGR
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BGR
4 - 3
LUX
84%
13%
3%
|
84 | 42 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
DNK
4 - 0
BGR
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LUX
1 - 3
NLD
5%
15%
80%
|
92 | 41 | 51 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
NLD
1 - 1
BEL
64%
20%
16%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
NLD
0 - 1
FRA
49%
24%
26%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
NLD
4 - 1
BLR
86%
10%
3%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
SWE
1 - 1
NLD
25%
24%
50%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |