Brazil vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
BRA
8%
17%
76%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
5 - 1
BOL
90%
8%
2%
|
97 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 4
SEN
87%
10%
3%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 1
GIN
90%
8%
2%
|
97 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
BRA
8%
17%
76%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 0
PRY
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
VEN
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 0
GTM
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 0
HND
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
UZB
1 - 1
VEN
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |