Brazil vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1937 |
ARG
2 - 0
BRA
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1937 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1937 |
BRA
3 - 2
URY
48%
22%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1937 |
BRA
5 - 0
PRY
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
BRA
6 - 4
CHL
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1938 |
POL
6 - 0
IRL
62%
18%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
YUG
1 - 0
POL
48%
20%
32%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
CHE
3 - 3
POL
43%
21%
36%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
POL
2 - 1
LVA
71%
15%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
POL
4 - 0
YUG
70%
16%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |