Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 0
PAR
86%
11%
3%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 1
BRA
9%
17%
74%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
ARG
0 - 0
BRA
28%
24%
48%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
COL
76%
16%
8%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 1
URU
75%
16%
9%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 3
CHI
21%
24%
55%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 2
ARG
22%
25%
53%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SLV
0 - 1
CHI
11%
22%
67%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 2
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 2
ECU
55%
23%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |