EC Qualifying Qualifying Round Round 11

Armenia vs Spain analysis

Armenia Spain
71 ELO 93
-3.7% Tilt -2.8%
2312º General ELO ranking 24º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
8.3%
Armenia
18.6%
Draw
73.1%
Spain

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
Armenia
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
73.1%
Win probability
Spain
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO progression

Armenia
Spain
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Armenia
Armenia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 1994
CYP
Cyprus
2 - 0
Armenia
ARM
36%
26%
38%
72 61 11 0
08 Oct. 1994
ARM
Armenia
0 - 0
Cyprus
CYP
67%
20%
13%
72 61 11 0
07 Sep. 1994
BEL
Belgium
2 - 0
Armenia
ARM
90%
7%
2%
72 90 18 0
16 Jul. 1994
ARM
Armenia
1 - 0
Malta
MLT
66%
20%
14%
72 61 11 0
15 May. 1994
USA
United States
1 - 0
Armenia
ARM
73%
16%
11%
72 80 8 0

Matches

Spain
Spain
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 1995
ESP
Spain
1 - 1
Belgium
BEL
64%
22%
14%
93 90 3 0
22 Feb. 1995
ESP
Spain
0 - 0
Germany
GER
76%
15%
9%
93 90 3 0
18 Jan. 1995
ESP
Spain
2 - 2
Uruguay
URU
67%
21%
13%
93 90 3 0
17 Dec. 1994
BEL
Belgium
1 - 4
Spain
ESP
36%
28%
36%
93 90 3 0
30 Nov. 1994
ESP
Spain
2 - 0
Finland
FIN
81%
14%
5%
93 74 19 0