Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
CHL
1 - 2
ARG
36%
27%
38%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
ARG
2 - 0
VEN
79%
15%
6%
|
93 | 59 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1997 |
PRY
1 - 2
ARG
30%
28%
42%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1997 |
ARG
1 - 2
PER
77%
16%
7%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1997 |
ARG
1 - 1
PRY
66%
21%
13%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
PER
2 - 1
URY
34%
28%
38%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
URY
1 - 0
CHL
46%
27%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
BOL
1 - 0
URY
35%
28%
38%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1997 |
BOL
1 - 0
URY
35%
27%
39%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
URY
2 - 0
VEN
76%
17%
8%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |