Argentina vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
ARG
3 - 0
HRV
68%
18%
13%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
NLD
2 - 2
ARG
44%
24%
32%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ARG
2 - 1
AUS
78%
15%
8%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
POL
0 - 2
ARG
17%
22%
62%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ARG
2 - 0
MEX
70%
18%
12%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ENG
1 - 2
FRA
42%
25%
33%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FRA
3 - 1
POL
71%
17%
12%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
TUN
1 - 0
FRA
9%
19%
72%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 1
DNK
64%
20%
16%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |