Argentina vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
IDN
0 - 2
ARG
4%
15%
81%
|
95 | 57 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 0
AUS
77%
15%
8%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
ARG
7 - 0
CUW
89%
8%
2%
|
95 | 59 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAN
86%
11%
4%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ARG
3 - 3
FRA
52%
23%
25%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
CRI
1 - 3
ECU
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
ECU
1 - 0
BOL
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 2
ECU
49%
25%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
AUS
3 - 1
ECU
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 2
SEN
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |