Saudi Arabia vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
POL
2 - 0
SAU
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
ARG
1 - 2
SAU
88%
9%
3%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
SAU
0 - 1
HRV
15%
22%
64%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
PAN
1 - 1
SAU
35%
28%
38%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ISL
0 - 1
SAU
37%
26%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ARG
2 - 0
MEX
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
POL
46%
24%
30%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
1 - 2
SWE
52%
24%
23%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
4 - 0
IRQ
72%
19%
9%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
COL
3 - 2
MEX
44%
26%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |