Germany vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
DEU
2 - 0
UKR
77%
15%
9%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
DEU
2 - 0
HUN
85%
11%
5%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
DEU
1 - 3
SVK
87%
10%
4%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
DEU
4 - 1
ITA
69%
18%
13%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
DEU
2 - 3
ENG
57%
21%
21%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
NIR
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
LTU
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
POL
1 - 2
NLD
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
POL
5 - 0
FIN
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
SRB
63%
22%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |