Germany vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
DEU
3 - 1
CMR
86%
10%
4%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
DEU
1 - 1
CHL
65%
19%
16%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
AUS
2 - 3
DEU
11%
16%
74%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
DEU
7 - 0
SMR
93%
6%
1%
|
94 | 24 | 70 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
DNK
1 - 1
DEU
16%
19%
65%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 0
GHA
78%
16%
6%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
2 - 1
RUS
55%
23%
22%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
2 - 1
NZL
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
PRT
2 - 2
MEX
47%
24%
29%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 1
USA
58%
23%
19%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |