Albania vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
58.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 1
QAT
36%
28%
37%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GEO
2 - 1
ALB
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
MKD
0 - 0
ALB
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 1
AZE
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 1
ROU
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
IRN
3 - 0
MOZ
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
IRN
2 - 0
MRT
95%
4%
1%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
IRN
2 - 2
QAT
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
IRN
2 - 2
JOR
76%
17%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
IDN
1 - 4
IRN
18%
24%
58%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |