Segesta vs Lučko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Segesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
SEG
3 - 1
IMO
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
HNG
1 - 0
SEG
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SEG
1 - 2
ZAG
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HNK
3 - 0
SEG
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SEG
1 - 1
ZAD
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lučko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
LUK
3 - 0
NKD
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
IMO
1 - 3
LUK
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LUK
3 - 1
HNG
32%
29%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ZAG
2 - 1
LUK
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
LUK
0 - 3
HNK
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |