Scunthorpe United vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
TRA
2 - 0
SCU
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
SCU
1 - 2
LEI
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
BRO
1 - 2
SCU
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
WAL
1 - 3
SCU
36%
25%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
SCU
1 - 0
ROC
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
BLY
3 - 4
ALF
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ALF
4 - 1
SOL
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ALF
4 - 2
BUR
45%
24%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
RED
2 - 2
ALF
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
ALF
2 - 1
STA
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |