Schalke 04 vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 4
S04
3%
9%
89%
|
75 | 28 | 47 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
0 - 3
S04
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
S04
1 - 3
HSV
37%
24%
38%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
S04
3 - 2
VIT
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
S04
0 - 0
SHA
19%
22%
58%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
ING
2 - 1
ERZ
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ERZ
0 - 0
STP
35%
25%
39%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FCN
0 - 0
ERZ
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 2
MAG
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
WOL
2 - 1
ERZ
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |