Progresso vs Aglianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
60.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
MEZ
1 - 0
PRO
59%
21%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 1
COR
24%
22%
55%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
USR
2 - 2
PRO
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
RAV
14%
18%
68%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
TRI
43%
24%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 1
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
TRI
2 - 2
ACA
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
ACA
3 - 2
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
LEN
3 - 0
ACA
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 0
ACP
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |