FA Cup . Previa 3
Global 3-4
Scarborough Athletic vs Marine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scarborough Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
SCA
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HYD
2 - 3
SCA
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
SCA
1 - 1
WHI
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 0
SCA
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
SCA
2 - 2
MAT
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
SCA
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
WIT
0 - 0
MAR
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
GRA
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
LAN
0 - 1
MAR
37%
24%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 4
BAS
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |