Sarmiento vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
EST
2 - 0
SAR
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
SAR
2 - 2
IND
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
BOC
4 - 1
SAR
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1982 |
SAR
1 - 1
PLA
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1982 |
CEN
5 - 1
SAR
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
FER
0 - 0
EST
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
IND
5 - 0
FER
53%
26%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1982 |
FER
3 - 0
BOC
60%
22%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1982 |
PLA
0 - 2
FER
34%
30%
36%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1982 |
FER
2 - 1
CEN
65%
21%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |