São Paulo vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
PPE
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 2
SAO
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
BRA
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 2
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CAL
3 - 1
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
PAS
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
IND
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
IND
4 - 0
PEÑ
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
AME
3 - 1
IND
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |