Copa do Brasil . Semi-finals
Global 1-4
São Paulo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
30%
26%
45%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
AMF
2 - 2
SAO
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 0
BRA
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CEA
2 - 1
SAO
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 2
FLA
34%
25%
42%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 1
FLA
43%
24%
33%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
ATP
0 - 1
FLA
24%
24%
52%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FLA
5 - 0
ATP
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 0
COR
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 2
FLA
34%
25%
42%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |