São Paulo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAO
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
SAO
1 - 1
VAS
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1996 |
SAO
2 - 1
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
SCI
1 - 0
SAO
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1996 |
OLI
2 - 1
SAO
46%
28%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
GOI
1 - 3
FLA
37%
29%
34%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
FLA
1 - 0
IND
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
FLA
0 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
BOT
0 - 2
FLA
52%
26%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1996 |
IND
0 - 0
FLA
51%
25%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |