Santos FC vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
MIR
3 - 2
SAN
21%
26%
53%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
ITU
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
77%
16%
6%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
COR
1 - 2
SAN
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
INT
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 2
SAO
19%
25%
56%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
5%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 3
SAO
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
ITU
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |