Santos FC vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
COR
0 - 0
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 0
ARN
86%
12%
2%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 2
OES
68%
21%
11%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
RIV
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
RBB
1 - 0
NOV
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
NOV
44%
25%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 0
PPE
24%
26%
51%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 0
COR
16%
25%
59%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | +1 |