Santos FC vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1977 |
SAN
1 - 1
AMF
68%
21%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
REM
0 - 2
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
FAS
1 - 3
SAN
11%
21%
69%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
ATM
3 - 0
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1977 |
CRZ
3 - 0
NAC
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
NAC
2 - 4
ATM
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
PAY
1 - 1
NAC
50%
27%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
NAC
1 - 0
USC
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
NAC
2 - 0
FAS
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |