Serie A Betano Round 11

Santos FC vs Fluminense analysis

Santos FC Fluminense
74 ELO 74
-18.8% Tilt -19.6%
121º General ELO ranking 139º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
48.3%
Santos FC
28.1%
Draw
23.5%
Fluminense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
Santos FC
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
23.5%
Win probability
Fluminense
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santos FC
-4%
+7%
Fluminense

ELO progression

Santos FC
Fluminense
Botafogo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santos FC
Santos FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 1991
SCI
Internacional
1 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
54%
27%
20%
74 76 2 0
23 Mar. 1991
BOT
Botafogo
0 - 3
Santos FC
SAN
54%
28%
19%
74 78 4 0
18 Mar. 1991
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 0
Vitória
VIT
51%
28%
21%
73 72 1 +1
14 Mar. 1991
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 1
Portuguesa
POR
35%
30%
35%
73 79 6 0
09 Mar. 1991
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Santos FC
SAN
58%
26%
17%
73 78 5 0

Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 1991
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
57%
24%
19%
74 77 3 0
27 Mar. 1991
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
53%
24%
23%
75 77 2 -1
24 Mar. 1991
SCI
Internacional
2 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
49%
27%
24%
75 76 1 0
17 Mar. 1991
FLU
Fluminense
0 - 0
RB Bragantino
BRA
53%
26%
21%
76 72 4 -1
13 Mar. 1991
FLU
Fluminense
0 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
49%
25%
26%
76 77 1 0