Série A . Final
Global 2-4
Santos FC vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1983 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1983 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAU
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
SAN
2 - 2
GOI
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1983 |
GOI
0 - 0
SAN
46%
29%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
NAU
0 - 1
SAN
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1983 |
ATP
2 - 0
FLA
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1983 |
FLA
3 - 0
ATP
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
FLA
1 - 1
VAS
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1983 |
VAS
1 - 2
FLA
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
COR
4 - 1
FLA
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |