Santos FC vs Cerro Porteño analysis


78	ELO	74
1.2%	Tilt	1.7%
133º	General ELO ranking	430º
16º	Country ELO ranking	2º
ELO win probability

72.7%

Santos FC

14.8%

Draw

12.5%

Cerro Porteño

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

72.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%

14.8%

Draw

0-0

1.7%

1-1

5.9%

2-2

4.9%

3-3

1.8%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

0.1%

0

14.8%

12.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%