Santos FC vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 0
FLA
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 2
SAN
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 1
ATP
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 0
PAR
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 2
SAN
29%
25%
47%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 1
COT
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 1
JUV
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 1
GOI
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2004 |
COR
1 - 0
ATM
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
PPE
1 - 1
ATM
42%
25%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |