Santos AP vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
81.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
TDC
1 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
ECM
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
ECM
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
SEC
0 - 2
SAN
22%
22%
55%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
TDC
0 - 4
SAN
40%
28%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VAS
2 - 1
RES
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
BAN
1 - 3
VAS
8%
16%
76%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 3
FLU
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 0
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 4
COR
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |