Santiago vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 4
SAN
13%
20%
68%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
IDE
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RAB
1 - 0
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 3
ANG
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
PRA
3 - 0
SAN
37%
24%
40%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FAB
2 - 0
UNI
83%
13%
5%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BEL
4 - 0
FAB
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FAB
2 - 2
VIT
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 14 | 47 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
PER
2 - 1
FAB
14%
22%
65%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 2
FAB
12%
18%
70%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |