Santiago Morning vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
IBE
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
COB
4 - 3
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
ULC
0 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
OHI
18%
21%
62%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
CSL
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 4
ANT
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
DLS
3 - 0
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
COQ
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
COB
3 - 3
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |