Santa Gema vs Chiriquí Occidente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GEM
0 - 2
COS
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
VER
3 - 1
GEM
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
GEM
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chiriquí Occidente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 1
VER
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
COS
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
OES
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |