Santa Cruz vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 2
SAN
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAX
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
SAN
4 - 0
AMF
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
CRB
2 - 2
SAN
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
XVD
0 - 1
UNI
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
FOR
4 - 0
XVD
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
XVD
1 - 0
SPO
13%
24%
63%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
AME
6 - 1
XVD
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
XVD
3 - 1
JEC
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |