Santa Cruz vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
IMP
1 - 6
SAN
13%
27%
60%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOT
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TRE
0 - 1
SAN
20%
30%
51%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FER
1 - 3
SAN
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
REM
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
3 - 0
FER
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PAY
0 - 0
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
MAN
62%
25%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
JAC
0 - 3
VIL
23%
30%
46%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |