Santa Cruz vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 4
GRE
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAN
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
CRZ
3 - 3
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
COR
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 2
VAS
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 0
CRZ
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 1
SCI
43%
26%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
SAO
0 - 4
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |