Copa do Brasil . 1/32
Global 3-1
Santa Cruz vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
CRB
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
AFO
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 1
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FEL
0 - 4
ABC
7%
14%
79%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
ABC
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 2
POT
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ABC
0 - 0
VIT
20%
22%
59%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |