San Francisco II vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
59.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Francisco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
UDP
2 - 2
SFF
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
OES
4 - 1
SFF
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SFF
1 - 4
IDC
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
UFC
4 - 3
SFF
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
SFF
0 - 1
NAC
20%
25%
56%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
OES
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 2
AFM
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
NAC
5 - 1
ACH
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
ACH
0 - 4
NAC
23%
25%
51%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
IDC
2 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |