Sampaio Correa vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 1
AUD
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
SAM
36%
30%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
AUD
0 - 0
SAM
14%
22%
64%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 2
SAM
31%
31%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 3
CRB
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NAU
0 - 4
CON
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
COT
3 - 1
NAU
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
BRU
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
BRA
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 1
NAU
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |