Samaritaine vs Case-Pilote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samaritaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 3
EUC
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ESS
2 - 1
SAM
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -12 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
RCS
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +12 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
GOL
0 - 3
SAM
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 0
CLU
50%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 4
NSD
56%
20%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
EUC
2 - 0
CAS
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +6 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 4
CLU
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -7 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ESS
1 - 1
CAS
54%
23%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 4
AIG
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |