Austrian Bundesliga Round 9

Salzburg vs Sturm Graz analysis

Salzburg Sturm Graz
67 ELO 72
-4.1% Tilt 6%
533º General ELO ranking 550º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46.8%
Salzburg
26.5%
Draw
26.8%
Sturm Graz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
Salzburg
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.8%
Win probability
Sturm Graz
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Salzburg
+18%
+13%
Sturm Graz

ELO progression

Salzburg
Sturm Graz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Salzburg
Salzburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 1981
WIE
Wiener SC
2 - 2
Salzburg
RBS
58%
23%
19%
67 65 2 0
26 Sep. 1981
RBS
Salzburg
2 - 0
SSW Innsbruck
SSW
49%
27%
25%
66 72 6 +1
18 Sep. 1981
LIN
FC Linz
3 - 2
Salzburg
RBS
61%
23%
17%
67 73 6 -1
11 Sep. 1981
RBS
Salzburg
2 - 0
Grazer AK
GRA
43%
26%
31%
66 72 6 +1
05 Sep. 1981
4 - 2
Salzburg
RBS
65%
21%
15%
66 69 3 0

Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 1981
STR
Sturm Graz
2 - 1
LASK
LAS
64%
21%
15%
72 69 3 0
30 Sep. 1981
CSK
CSKA Moskva
2 - 1
Sturm Graz
STR
75%
14%
11%
73 80 7 -1
25 Sep. 1981
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 2
Austria Wien
AUS
37%
26%
37%
73 81 8 0
18 Sep. 1981
WIE
Wiener SC
3 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
48%
25%
27%
74 64 10 -1
16 Sep. 1981
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 0
CSKA Moskva
CSK
43%
22%
35%
73 80 7 +1