Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 1-1
Salgueiro vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
59.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
SAL
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SAL
4 - 0
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
SAL
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 0
BEL
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CRI
0 - 3
FLA
39%
27%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
CRI
3 - 1
SAN
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
FLU
3 - 0
CRI
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
SCI
2 - 0
CRI
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
CRI
3 - 1
BAH
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |