Salford City vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
SAL
3 - 0
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 2
WAL
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
GRI
1 - 0
SAL
22%
26%
52%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
OLD
1 - 4
SAL
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
SAL
3 - 1
CRE
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
BUR
2 - 4
NOR
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 0
STE
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CRA
4 - 0
NOR
26%
25%
48%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 1
NOR
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |